Well it was a quite big surprise when Italy dominanted the game against Belgium and ended up winning 0-2. Bookies and football fans were surprised, but it looks like Italy could be a dangerous contender for one of the top spots of this competition. Today they are up against Sweden, and we don't see that as a problem for Italy.
Sweden had troubles with Ireland and was quite lucky to get away with a 1-1 draw. Now they are up against Italy, a team that played very well in the first match against Belgium, and we have a hard time understanding the big odds on Italy. Italy is better than Sweden, and even though a draw would be fine for both nations, especially Italy, we expect them to secure advancement today against Sweden.
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We see Italy win this match more than 50 % of the time, and that's why we find value in odds 2.00 at Italy.
Bet on Italy to beat Sweden. Odds 2.00 at bet365.