Joined: Feb '11
Location: Romania
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 478
i really need some real good tips this days cuz i want to combine some football with some baschet .I m not into NbA but i if some mobsters can help me with some tips i ll apreciate it 4 shure (bowie 4 exemple )
Posted by TigerAxL: i really need some real good tips this days cuz i want to combine some football with some baschet. I m not into NbA but i if some mobsters can help me with some tips i ll apreciate it 4 shure (bowie 4 exemple )
Dont parlay NBA with soccer, thats my only advice. I usually take single bets, and hardly on anything that offers less than a 1.75-1.80 decimal odds. NBA is pretty predictable trendwise, and far too many informations avaliable before the games to help you make decisions (look 4 example their own 'ten before tip' blog). I use this topic sometimes to lament on someones bet or to open a discussion on mine, however I dont advise to anybody to follow me bettingwise, honestly I had more success with p.oker in the past than sportsbetting.
Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 10090
well i feel the need to make my wallet a bit lighter, so i will place a few bets for tonight: Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder heat to win San Antonio Spurs - Chicago Bulls spurs to win ht/ft
@Tiger: don't know bout the odds, but there are some games in Euro Cup that look "highly predictable": Unics Kazan - Oostende unics to win Khimki - Nymburk khimki to win
Joined: Jun '12
Location: Greece
Age: 43 (M)
Posts: 488
Here are some pics from NBA world: Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder: Heat win by 1-10 points ~2.60 head to head Lebron-Durant :i take my favorite player to other side of Antlantic Durant
Sacramento Kings-Memphis Grizzlies : Memphis win by more than 4 point handicap
San Antonio Spurs-Chicago Bulls :bulls to defend 8 points handicap /spurs face lot of injuries too(Leonard, Splitter, Green Ginobili)
Last pic : Dallas Mavericks-Houston Rockets:i will risk and go with win of Mavs since star of Rockets Harden is sidelined.
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 47 (F)
Posts: 14136
So today had a look at your tips, and im gonna play later a triple in NBA with calmplay's suggestions. Hard one to get with two fo them with high advantages, but if it comes out the odds are good Good luck.
Posted by Calmplay: Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics win
I bet the beating of Boston tonight, altough plenty value left in the Philly with the spread too, I took them straight up cuz the unpredictable derby atmosphere and I expect Rondo screw it up the 4th quarter.
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Also took Chicago with +11.5 tonight, Its not that good odds, but I like them bullz on the road - so at least I see some value in this. San Antonio have plenty debby downers lately.
Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 10090
true Calmplay- this thread is only bout good old nba (fcuk the profitable euro cup bets)...well i personally am back to my old best- 0% strike rate achieved again hope to keep up in the same vein tonight: Golden State Warriors - L. A. Clippers clipper to win New York Knicks - Cleveland Cavaliers knicks to win Indiana Pacers - Phoenix Suns pacers to win ht/ft
Goddamn Rondo didnt even played yesterday but Philly still won SU, so I am happy and the bullz continued the 'no one mess with us on the road' mentality so it was more than an alright night for me. I dont know if Im gonna bet tonite, Im in Super Bowl mode already - reading a shitton of stats for the biggame to educate me properly for the live betting. If I'll bet I'll take Phoenix and the points (+10.5 if Im right - Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games), but the sure thing would be the over 199.5, says the stats: Over is 4-0-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0-1 in Pacers last 6 games following a S.U. win. Over is 5-0-1 in Pacers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 h2h meetings in Indiana. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 h2h meetings.
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 47 (F)
Posts: 14136
Well the triple didnt landed yesterday. And the funny thing is that i lost it from the game which had the less advantage for only 3,5 points, Philadelphia 76ers. Once more great tips calmplay. Keep them running
Posted by Mober: Well the triple didnt landed yesterday. And the funny thing is that i lost it from the game which had the less advantage for only 3,5 points, Philadelphia 76ers. Once more great tips calmplay. Keep them running
Im sorry if I dont shut up, but you shouldt parlay straight up NBA games. If you really want combine more games, u should only play the spread. The point coverage (even if its only +0.5 advantage) is very helpful and not some random data sheet that bookies made up before the games. It pays better too. I still dont understand why none of you take single bets with the spread. The thing you do here with all those parlays is -EV.
Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 10090
@bowie - yeah sometimes points spread offers +ev (at least on paper), but i personally only take them when there's a very little advantage (up to 3 pints)- this does increase the payout, but taking high spread is just a gamble imo- it's not like some team care to win the match by 24 points or 18 points...they know that match is won and have no motivation to keep crushing opposition...meanwhile you are sweating on the points scored
Not just the point spread thing. I dont like parlays, combinations, anything that take away percentages from your chance to win. Many of you taking these bets way before the starting five anounced or you dont care that if the favorite team is playing fourth time on a 5games/5days tour, you are eliminating anything that would help you make better decisions. None of you playing with my money so I could care less, but Im bothered cuz most of the times you are barely winning despite the topic headline says 100% sure tips.
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 47 (F)
Posts: 14136
Maybe because we dont have here all games available as singles, or even special bets like spread and stuff. Most of the times the Basket bets are forced double parlay and above. I have said that before, but here is once more, that i dont bet online, only at a retail shop we have here.
heat to win
