Posted by Setera
Greetings BRM! Today I wanted to try out something new.
in a NL 5 speel poker
game I buy in with 20BB's.
- from button, SB & BB. Shove every hand to an open raise from Hijack or later.
- For the rest solid plays (That solid play has been rated profitable for me over enough hands.)
- Leave the table once you hit 30 BB's.
My session was 138 hands.
I shoved 13 times in total and got called 3 times.
Is this strategy profitable? Let's do some basic maths (not exact maths.)
Every succesfull shove will give you 4.5 BB (Avg of 3BB's open raise)
Every call will put you around 33% chance of winning.
In this session I was called 3 times, and won 1. (even had my money in better than 33%, showing they do somethimes call losely.)
So I lost avg of 2x 20BB and won once a 18BB (lets give rake the rake
- 22 BB
+ 45 BB (shoves)
=> profit of 23 BB's in 138 hands, without involving any other play.
=> 16.7 BB profit every 100hands. Plus getting a rather lose image, which only will profit you later on when you don't use this strategy.
PS: This was a trial session. These statistics could be FAR off.
Never do this on much higher limits, more sharks, more notes on you. Unless you can counter that by abusing it on the sharks.
Thoughts? Or other people willing to try this and post their statistics?
(I tried this way under my bankroll, so wouldn't mind losing the $$ for statistics