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  20-Sep-12, 20:40   #21
  0 
Doarulle 
Joined: Sep '12
Location: Romania
Age: 27 (M)
Posts: 1052
Congratulations man, you're good Thumbs Up

     
  20-Sep-12, 20:48   #22
  0 
zeroster 

Joined: May '11
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 53 (M)
Posts: 1372
Been going through that last hand in my head and I really should have been able to put it down.

The villain either has nothing or a set minimum. Assuming he has nothing his shove would mean he thought I didn't have an A or a K, which is unlikely. If this was the scenario and I'd have called he'd have dropped from first to last place. Much more likely that he's assuming I do have A or K and he's expecting the call.

To put it more simply. At this point in the hand he must know I either have aces, or A,K. So if he's betting he must have a set.

I should have been thinking less about what I had and more about why he was making the bet.

Edited by zeroster (Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 21:27 GMT)


     
  21-Sep-12, 00:00   #23
  0 
Greenmohave 

Joined: Jan '11
Location: United States
Age: 54 (M)
Posts: 3361
Congratulations on a great finish zero! Your definitely headed toward one of the big tournament wins. Playing consistent is tough, but if you can make the final table 1 out of every 5 to 7 games I'd think that would be pretty good. I'm not much for stats, but know whe I've played consistent or not. Good Luck!

     
  21-Sep-12, 00:26   #24
  0 
marqis 

Joined: Sep '10
Location: Netherlands
Age: 49 (M)
Posts: 1644
Posted by zeroster:
Been going through that last hand in my head and I really should have been able to put it down.

The villain either has nothing or a set minimum. Assuming he has nothing his shove would mean he thought I didn't have an A or a K, which is unlikely. If this was the scenario and I'd have called he'd have dropped from first to last place. Much more likely that he's assuming I do have A or K and he's expecting the call.

To put it more simply. At this point in the hand he must know I either have aces, or A,K. So if he's betting he must have a set.

I should have been thinking less about what I had and more about why he was making the bet.

I'm inclined to go along with your first assessment; There's no getting away from it.

There are just so few hands that beat your top 2 pair (AA, KK or 66). Two aces and kings are already accounted for. Would you really fold on the off-chance he has one of those hands?

You raised 2.5 BB from the button, so it's more likely he's defending his blinds, against a perceived steal attempt. To me it seems -ev to fold here (even accounting for the bubble factor).

I think you played it correctly.

     
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