Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 47 (F)
Posts: 14136
I believe you broke the record with shots used and not winning anything. We are talking about major jinx there, but you also didnt have in mind something like that can happen and not being able to go for the money.
I believe you made history in BRM and will keep that record for a very long time.
Joined: Oct '11
Location: Sweden
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 1410
Posted by Mober: I believe you broke the record with shots used and not winning anything. We are talking about major jinx there, but you also didnt have in mind something like that can happen and not being able to go for the money.
I believe you made history in BRM and will keep that record for a very long time.
I didn't have that in mind since there wasn't anything in the rules or FAQ about a maximum number of allowed shots to be used at a safe. And I did check before I bought my first 50 shots. I was afraid someone would crack it while I was trying but that wasn't what happened.
Posted by erru9107: I figured it wouldn't be a low number since the 5 previous ones were all in the 000-300 range. The odds of getting a 6th number in a row in that area isn't all that big. I used 700-799, 500-599, 600-699, 800-899, 400-499, 300-399, 900-999, 100-199. I was gonna go for 000-099 next but obviously that wasn't possible.
I think this is flawed logic. The chance of a low number is not dependent on previous draws. If this were true I'd consider a career as a roulette player...
Joined: Apr '09
Location: Australia
Age: 40 (M)
Posts: 6483
Posted by marqis:
Posted by erru9107: I figured it wouldn't be a low number since the 5 previous ones were all in the 000-300 range. The odds of getting a 6th number in a row in that area isn't all that big. I used 700-799, 500-599, 600-699, 800-899, 400-499, 300-399, 900-999, 100-199. I was gonna go for 000-099 next but obviously that wasn't possible.
I think this is flawed logic. The chance of a low number is not dependent on previous draws. If this were true I'd consider a career as a roulette player...
Joined: Dec '10
Location: Finland
Age: 31 (M)
Posts: 429
Yeah it's true that the odds of it happening 6times in a row are low but in this case it had already happened 5 times so you should only be concerned about this single case. And the odds in a single case are equal every time, no matter what has happened before it.
Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 10090
really? so you are saying that after 10 reds there is 50/50 chance (taking away the house edge) that next ball is gonna be red again? theoretically yes, mathematically yes, running a random number simulation- probably yes, but practically? go to a casino and place bets on black only after 10 reds hit in a row- you will see if it's 50/50
Posted by pochui: really? so you are saying that after 10 reds there is 50/50 chance (taking away the house edge) that next ball is gonna be red again? theoretically yes, mathematically yes, running a random number simulation- probably yes, but practically? go to a casino and place bets on black only after 10 reds hit in a row- you will see if it's 50/50
I can't tell if you're being sarcastic...
Just in case you're not; do you suppose the physics of a roulette wheel change, making black more probable after 10 reds? If so, by how much exactly?
The chance of 10 reds followed by 1 black is exactly the same as for 11 reds in a row...
Joined: Mar '11
Location: Germany
Age: 55 (M)
Posts: 1242
Well it was a try and it could have worked. Guess you calculated that in worst case you will run break even. But in addition to that 800 shots rule which we now know all bout, there are some other dangerous factors. During the time you were putting in all these numbers (I guess it took about 1 hour) somebody else could have cracked it. In addition - and I guess nobody else mentioned it before - when the price pool changes/goes up, the number of the combination also changes. So lets say you try 400 shots and then the price goes up, the strategy is ruined by that.
Joined: Feb '08
Location: Switzerland
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 210
Never knew about such rule. I remember using 1000+ shots one day in 2008 witout being restricted (don't ask why I used more than 1000 shots, I simply wasn't focused enough ).
Joined: Apr '09
Location: Australia
Age: 40 (M)
Posts: 6483
Posted by pochui: really? so you are saying that after 10 reds there is 50/50 chance (taking away the house edge) that next ball is gonna be red again? theoretically yes, mathematically yes, running a random number simulation- probably yes, but practically? go to a casino and place bets on black only after 10 reds hit in a row- you will see if it's 50/50
LOLWAT?
------------ As marqis mentioned, just in case you're not being sarcastic. Discounting the house-edge, of course it's 50:50 !
Joined: Nov '12
Location: Canada
Age: 55 (M)
Posts: 4675
wow dude i think you just got punked by the safe witch with the gun. That shelia hates me mates.
i think 800 wasted saved shots would be like getting pocket aces cracked by an idiot shove you all in pre flop with 5 9 off suit and catching a blasted striight on the river causing you to place one from the money in a big tournament.
Joined: Mar '10
Location: Croatia
Age: 74 (F)
Posts: 1038
Hi,seems like you making bad decision,it will be better to buy cards for Mob draw,there you have chance to won 3 x 5000 points,next time buy cards for draw how many shots
