Joined: Dec '08
Location: Netherlands
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 579
Posted by bullettooth1:
Posted by remco2504: Peter with that amount you still only have about 25% to hit one of the 5000 mob points..
Still i wish you good luck !!
How do you know the percentage of his chance of winning? surely you would have to know how many people have entered? I'm not trying to be funny or anything because i don't know it myself. just curious?
Well Bullet...
BRM gives away the 5000 point prize one time for every 5000 points in the pool. So the chance of hitting it with about 1250 points is 25%
Joined: Dec '09
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 37 (M)
Posts: 94
Hey Peter, thanks for hte welcome,
I actually been on brm for a while just not had a chance to get on forums as often as possible, I have 53 tickets for draw, any good ? lol me not thinks
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 47 (F)
Posts: 14136
That river can really hurt You can ask jessthehuman about it, when he got nothing by buying the maximum tickets. 5000 tickets and no win. You just need to be lucky and you can win with way less than that. gl with your tickets.
Joined: Nov '11
Location: Poland
Age: 37 (M)
Posts: 1081
Paradoxically, this move may makes you win. Because the MobDraw are fuelled by mobsters points. Eg. if 500 mobsters buy 10 tickets, the prizepool will be 5000 which mean 1 prize. If 15000 mp will be in prizepool = 3 prizes, etc...
So you should pray that mobsters put more tickets in prizepool
Joined: Dec '08
Location: Netherlands
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 579
Posted by Mysik86: Paradoxically, this move may makes you win. Because the MobDraw are fuelled by mobsters points. Eg. if 500 mobsters buy 10 tickets, the prizepool will be 5000 which mean 1 prize. If 15000 mp will be in prizepool = 3 prizes, etc...
So you should pray that mobsters put more tickets in prizepool
I dont think it actually matters...same chance
You say if mobsters buy 75000 points so 15 prizes you have that much off a bigger chance with a same sized bet??? Doesnt really matter right ?? Chance stays the same...doesnt matter if its 1 prize or 100 prizes..
Joined: Dec '12
Location: Bulgaria
Age: 47 (M)
Posts: 1022
Hello mobsters,
Actually, I think the Mob Points which I spent buying Mob Draw tickets doesn't belong to me. I mean I was somekind rewarded by The BankrollMob site, by posting threads, but it is not my money!
So, I think I will not have a heart attack if I don't win. This is a game of luck.
I will keep you updaing guys! I saw that already there is one prize ready of 5000 Mob Points. So this sunday we will see what will happen.
Joined: Jan '11
Location: United States
Age: 60 (M)
Posts: 3361
Both times I won and I'm sure it has nothing to do with it, but I bought the tickets about 8 hours before the draw. That's the only trend I could relate, but then it is only two times. I have bought tickets almost every week since joining BRM and have only won it two times.
I'm not complaining either! Most times I only buy 100 tickets so I think you have a good chance with 1310 tickets. Wish you the best!
Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 10090
better buy yourself 1400 acres of land- at least you can plant some garlic in there and win for sure when you harvest them & plus be safe from vampires too. so an all win situation. i personally wouldn't put 1400 into mobdraw- don't see the reason to risk, better accumulate more & withdraw when i have 5000.
Joined: May '09
Location: India
Age: 37 (M)
Posts: 4873
as usual remco got his math all wrong
anyway those concerned with exact figures can use probability formula for binomial distribution or branching method to calculate win % and those conc just with theory - as the number of prizes increase, your chances of not winning even 1 increase but so does your chances of winning multiple. many.times % hav been calculated and posted in past by me and others, if u search a bit maybe u'll find in old threads
Joined: Sep '12
Location: Romania
Age: 33 (M)
Posts: 1052
i ussualy buy 300-400 tickets / weekend but still don't win anything... i think if i'll buy 2 tickets i'll win two prizes btw this is loto just one of 5000 is winner... i think i'll stop to spend my points and just keep it
Joined: Dec '12
Location: Bulgaria
Age: 47 (M)
Posts: 1022
Hello pochiu,
I like your post! It is very funny!
By the way one acre of land here cost 334.90. So, 1400 acres of land here in Bulgaria cost 468. 860. That means that I have to accumulate 46. 886. 000 Mob Points. 46. 886. 000 Mob Points = 94 times x 5 000 Mob Points.
Usually 5 000 Mob Points are accumulated for 6 months. That means 6 months x 94 times = 564 months. 564 months = 47 years. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally to buy 1400 acres of land I will need 46. 886. 000 Mob Points which I can accumulate for 47 years! Now I am 36 years of age. If I post every day at least 5 posts here from today, when I reach the age of 83 I can buy 1400 acres of land.
Joined: Dec '08
Location: Netherlands
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 579
Posted by SuperNoob: as usual remco got his math all wrong
anyway those concerned with exact figures can use probability formula for binomial distribution or branching method to calculate win % and those conc just with theory - as the number of prizes increase, your chances of not winning even 1 increase but so does your chances of winning multiple. many.times % hav been calculated and posted in past by me and others, if u search a bit maybe u'll find in old threads
Thats why i posted "correct me if i am wrong" because i was not sure ... Bit harsh to say as usual i am wrong..but you can say anything you want...
It seem for me that about every week I'm winning a 100 tickets for the mob draw but I don't think those hundreds are giving me a big chance... Is ist possible to keep ticket we're winning and accumulate them until we got enough and then put them in the sunday draw?