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  6-May-14, 16:37   #1
2014 World Cup And A Betting Strategy in Progress 0 
Heskor 
Joined: May '13
Location: Mauritius
Age: 25 (M)
Posts: 2659
I can wait for the world cup to start for new betting opportunities though the matches will start at 1am or even 3 am in my country so i guess i would not be able to watch much matches, so if I bet I am gonna have to go blindly, anyway this should be a good world cup and my favorite is for italy to win it!! Worth a punt if you want to follow!

     
  6-May-14, 16:45   #2
  0 
senzatie 
Joined: Oct '12
Location: Romania
Age: 23 (M)
Posts: 6
Huh, i will bet on any game as much as possible and i hope i'll win some cash for the final, anyone know how much will cost a ticket for final?

     
  6-May-14, 18:57   #3
  0 
ddblt1970 
Joined: Aug '13
Location: Czech Republic
Age: 21 (M)
Posts: 913
I wish you good luck, although I don´t think you will be able to double your money.

But still, sports betting is very exciting even if you are losing. Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile

     
  6-May-14, 20:51   #4
  0 
noonlion 

Joined: Mar '12
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 1277
I'll defo be betting on some fo these. I love the top goalscorer bets and long-bets in these tourneys.
You mentioned wiating until theres been a few games played: very wise. Because you can't know how teams are set up and fitness level;s etc etc until a few games in.

The way I see it, only a South American team can win. Apart from Spain, I can't see Germany, Portugal or Holland doing much damage and even then I think the likes of Brazil/Uruguay/Argentina etc will be too good.

     
  7-May-14, 06:16   #5
  0 
3pokeronly 

Joined: Jul '12
Location: New Zealand
Age: 51 (M)
Posts: 233
Hi, I read most of your blogs (at work though, so keep that quiet, lol) with a reasonable bank roll you could try betting total goals in tournament for a "banker", usually the bookies have these numbers pretty close and you can use this to your advantage. Check three or four local and or internet bookies for their values and spread, find the bookie with the lowest total and bet that spread, after the first round or two, during which most goals will be scored, re-bet (normally, but not always, at a different bookie) the high spread, and points in the middle is effectively banked, @ 20-25 Euro a point that should be around 400-500 banked, you can then increase your bets on the final games with more information and potential return. Good luck out there. 3P

     
  7-May-14, 06:50   #6
  0 
bowie1984 

Joined: Apr '12
Location: Hungary
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 4685
It would be interesting to see how fast you could loose €2000. Hit me up for a ticket to that movie. Big Smile
This World Cup going to be a tricky one. The South American weather and the huge distances making all kinds of bets at risk, since we won't know for sure how well rested each team will be.
And the goddamn major europian soccer leagues still on - so the players not only don't get a good vacatiuon before training camp, plenty of them will have small injuries left still.

     
  7-May-14, 07:33   #7
  0 
pochui 

Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 8648
i find that most of the value (as really is often the case) is when betting against the public- that means laying the "obvious" winners, over-under's etc. probably worth taking an outsider or a couple to win the whole thing, and then lay it off when they are in the semis or final... just my two cents. gl to everyone watching and betting Thumbs Up

     
  7-May-14, 09:57   #8
  0 
doubletop777 
Joined: Mar '11
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 47 (M)
Posts: 5557
Whenever i bet on the football, like you, my preferred bet is the goals market. This way i can watch the game and dont care who wins as long as there are goals, my bet will be landed

     
  7-May-14, 17:06   #9
  0 
DaCapo71 
Joined: Aug '10
Location: Germany
Age: 45 (M)
Posts: 1712
But there are a lot of offers in poker and sport betting next time like tennis grand slam for sport betting or the ice hocke world cup and so on. And for poker you can create a one month poker challenge with your favorite game as a motivation to play.

     
  7-May-14, 19:28   #10
  0 
ddblt1970 
Joined: Aug '13
Location: Czech Republic
Age: 21 (M)
Posts: 913
The bookmakers are doing such numbers, that any choice isn´t really profitable.

But how else they could make money, it is similar to casinos, the house (/sports betting site) has alway edge. :/

     
  7-May-14, 20:42   #11
  0 
rambob 
Joined: Apr '14
Location: Tunisia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 27
betting luck hhhhh, i wish a good luck to all believers to double up the bankroll in this last chance on the season.

     
  8-May-14, 21:35   #12
  0 
Macubaas 
Joined: Apr '11
Location: Romania
Age: 27 (M)
Posts: 6668
I think it's a really smart move form you to stop from betting now and play more in that period...

I'm pretty sure you have good chances then to win some really big $$$ with all those games Big Smile

     
  9-May-14, 07:42   #13
  0 
ddblt1970 
Joined: Aug '13
Location: Czech Republic
Age: 21 (M)
Posts: 913
@pochui

I agree with your point, but I wouldn´t recommend betting on an obvious outsider to win the whole thing. Big Smile

     
  11-May-14, 21:50   #14
  0 
rambob 
Joined: Apr '14
Location: Tunisia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 27
I can wait for the world cup to start for new betting opportunities though the matches will start at 1am or even 3 am in my country so i guess i would not be able to watch much matches, so if I bet I am gonna have to go blindly, anyway this should be a good world cup and my favorite is for italy to win it!! Worth a punt if you want to follow!

     
  11-May-14, 21:57   #15
  0 
teddybears73 
Joined: Nov '11
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 59 (M)
Posts: 3181
Posted by rambob:
I can wait for the world cup to start for new betting opportunities though the matches will start at 1am or even 3 am in my country so i guess i would not be able to watch much matches, so if I bet I am gonna have to go blindly, anyway this should be a good world cup and my favorite is for italy to win it!! Worth a punt if you want to follow!


Heskor just said that
Big Smile

     
  11-May-14, 23:00   #16
  0 
noonlion 

Joined: Mar '12
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 1277
Posted by ddblt1970:
@pochui

I agree with your point, but I wouldn't recommend betting on an obvious outsider to win the whole thing. Big Smile


Yeah agreed - any outsider bet is pointless given the location and strength of a few core teams.
Tiredness will play a big part in this WC - think how many top pros are beat the f**k out after such long seasons. Potentially that could give weaker teams a mild edge if their players have played less, but I can't imagine it will.

     
  12-May-14, 09:29   #17
  0 
ddblt1970 
Joined: Aug '13
Location: Czech Republic
Age: 21 (M)
Posts: 913
Although the odds may be better than the actuall chance of the outsider winning,

the chance is really small and you will only win one time out of 200, which isn´t that great. Big Smile

     
  12-May-14, 12:08   #18
  0 
pochui 

Joined: May '08
Location: Lithuania
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 8648
well to elaborate a bit on the "betting on an outsider to win big" thingy i mentioned in some post above: the whole point in taking such bet is to actually have an exit strategy in place- no one really thinks that north korea is going to win it, but taking such bet before the balls is kicked might offer some value (betting against public opinion is what actually extracts the value)... however this value must be taken asap- say when the underdog goes into the 1/4, 1/2 etc. expecting for some amateurs to win big time is like believing in a fairytale (you know when pretty babes are dreaming of a rich dude with exquisitely shaved balls and with 4 anus whitening operations on-board... or maybe this is a different story.. whatever)

     
  16-May-14, 11:42   #19
  0 
doubletop777 
Joined: Mar '11
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 47 (M)
Posts: 5557
I think the way to win on these outsiders is the 'bet to lay strategy'. This is where you bet on say a 33/1 shot and if they start the tournament well you lay off the bet at reduced odds for at least your stake and you have a no risk bet

     
  2-Jun-14, 18:06   #20
  0 
ddblt1970 
Joined: Aug '13
Location: Czech Republic
Age: 21 (M)
Posts: 913
The world cup is closer and closer.

Do you have a lot of tips?

     
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