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  5-Jun-15, 16:27   #1
Any Math Geniuses About...? 0 
demodawggy 

Joined: Feb '12
Location: Canada
Age: 56 (M)
Posts: 5581
...So tonight is a BIG lotto draw here in Canada for $100 Million.... Thumbs Up

...1 draw for $50 Million... Thumbs Up

...PLUS 50 extra draws for $1 Million each... Thumbs Up

...for a TOTAL of 51 chances to win AT LEAST $1 Million... Dollar Smile Heart Smile Dollar Smile Thumbs Up


PRIZE PAYOUT CHART
LOTTO MAX MAIN DRAW
Odds of Winning* 7/7: 1 in 28,633,528


My question is...: Big Smile< At 1 in $28+ million to 1 odds of getting 7/7 on ONE ticket that is essentially a 7/47 (pick 7 numbers out of 47,...they draw 7 numbers) ticket ( instead of Lotto 6/49 ),...

What,...are the ASTRONOMICAL odds of winning ALL 51 draws...?


How do you calculate that,...and is there a calculator available online to even calculate such an insanely HUGE number...?

Somebody please calculate this JUST out of curiosity... Smile Thumbs Up

Edited by demodawggy (Friday, June 05, 2015 @ 16:31 GMT)


     
  5-Jun-15, 17:50   #2
  0 
crash58 
Joined: Oct '08
Location: Canada
Age: 58 (M)
Posts: 2423
you would have to purchase at least 51 tickets to win all 51 draws.

guess your adds would be 1/ gazillion Big Smile

I play a 8 number combination with one of the guys at work.
makes your odds a little better. Thumbs Up

     
  5-Jun-15, 20:02   #3
  0 
av1966 
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Portugal
Age: 50 (M)
Posts: 1500
Hello my friends and fellow mobsters

Demodawggy don´t worry about math in a lottery game thats insane the odds of winning are so slim that if we know them will never play Aww crap! Aww crap!

But there sre some sweet things in the humans called ability to dream ,the capacity to have hope and faith Worship Worship

Wish you the best luck on that game Thumbs Up

Don´t forget to be happy and enjoy life

     
  5-Jun-15, 22:00   #4
  0 
Mober 
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 39 (F)
Posts: 9663
What is the point figuring out the odds. If you are going to play you will do it either way.
Do you think, that all these people crawling to play their numbers, every time there is a jackpot
thinking of the odds? Nope. The only thing they thinking of is... what if i win? Smile

     
  5-Jun-15, 23:24   #5
  0 
pinotte 
Joined: Jun '13
Location: Canada
Age: 72 (M)
Posts: 3445
I am not a math specialist but let say that you have 1 chance of 28,633,528 in your 51 tickets if you juat multiplied these figures its giving you a number that you just dont want to know. Imagine now the real formula. Just imagine its impossible and that will be enought no need of odds. Big Smile Big Smile

     
  6-Jun-15, 00:26   #6
  0 
3pokeronly 

Joined: Jul '12
Location: New Zealand
Age: 51 (M)
Posts: 228
Relatively easy math your chances are as follows:

You need 50 tickets, which gives you 50/28,633,528 (assuming you number here was correct) to win the main numbers draw.

Then the other 50 draws appear to be ticket out of the hat sort of thing and without knowing the total number of tickets we can but guess.

Lets assume 30,000,000 total ticket 50/30,000,000 = 0.000166667%
then 49/29,999,999 = 0.000163333%
compound those two results only = 0.000000000272222231296297%

As you can see it is not looking good to claim them all, I think pochui would say "s**t show and no show" would sum it up.

However if you do win the first draw, the compounding is no longer relevant, it is the old heads and tails statistic, chances of 10 heads in a row are minimal, the chances of a head after already throwing 9 in a row is exactly 50%

     
  6-Jun-15, 01:10   #7
  +2 
marqis 

Joined: Sep '10
Location: Netherlands
Age: 48 (M)
Posts: 1622
The actual odds of picking 7 numbers out of 47 correctly is:
1 in 47!/(40!*7!) = 1 in 47*46*45*44*43*42*41/7! = 1 in 62,891,499

That is exactly 3 times worse than the 1 in 20,963,833 wikipedia mentions. My guess is that you get 3 chances per ticket? Don't know where you get 1 in 28 million from?

In that case you'll need 17 tickets to win 51 prizes.

The chance that you'll win with all 51 numbers is just the chance you'll win with one to the power of 51 = 1 in 62,891,499^51 = 1 in 53 479 735 745 579 695 215 809 725 650 445 733 337 438 369 908 143 315 840 574 599 157 843 427 719 514 167 153 239 532 621 096 840 208 757 087 572 716 976 232 786 992 168 060 522 708 513 548 844 511 630 132 521 343 926 452 338 679 800 007 165 968 138 351 539 418 837 128 681 660 149 116 074 256 669 907 242 030 311 904 800 985 750 849 462 217 879 809 290 017 826 612 266 200 123 903 944 451 112 399 915 080 048 447 420 914 705 540 220 282 343 586 231 812 415 115 920 507 027 910 593 962 448 217 558 586 289 258 731 990 463 716 499

Good luck!
https://defuse.ca/big-number-calculator.htm

Edited by marqis (Saturday, June 06, 2015 @ 01:56 GMT)


     
  6-Jun-15, 06:17   #8
  0 
superthight 

Joined: Jan '13
Location: Philippines
Age: 50 (F)
Posts: 745
thats a big money certainly lotto are possible to win but when will that come in life.in our country senators are investing so much in lotto and no 1 suceed.curuptions are still at large until now.

     
  6-Jun-15, 13:31   #9
  0 
klash23 
Joined: Mar '12
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 37 (F)
Posts: 2243
Wow there are some big numbers in this question Demo.....are you planning on making a clean sweep of all the prizes? Smile
We recently had a winner in the UK who won the lottery raffle twice but that was not on the same day and I did here of a syndicate with hundreds of lines who won the top prize twice because they made a mistake on their ticket by duplicating the same lines,not so good for the other ticket holder who lost a third of the jackpot. Smile

     
  7-Jun-15, 16:33   #10
  0 
Mober 
Joined: Mar '09
Location: Greece
Age: 39 (F)
Posts: 9663
lol marqis. I liked so much that movie and have watched it more than once of course.
And that scene was funny of course, but it resembles with our actions, when we play such games,
going after that one chance Smile
Couldnt give you more than 1 Thumbs Up Smile

     
  7-Jun-15, 21:15   #11
  0 
demodawggy 

Joined: Feb '12
Location: Canada
Age: 56 (M)
Posts: 5581
Posted by marqis:

My guess is that you get 3 chances per ticket? Don't know where you get 1 in 28 million from?

In that case you'll need 17 tickets to win 51 prizes.



...I was wondering while posting this thread if marqis would reply...! He's like the resident genius...! Big Smile Thumbs Up

...anyhow,...yes... Each ticket has 3 lines,... So for every ticket you buy,...you get 3 sets of numbers...!


The 1/28 million comes from the Lotto website...!

...aMAZing marqis....!!! I must say...! Smile Thumbs Up

     
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