Which team going to be the winner of Super Bowl 50?
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Joined: Mar '11
Location: Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 1042
New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos:
Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 49% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 53% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tom Brady is averaging 304 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Peyton Manning is averaging 316 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
In this game my selection will be The New England Patriots (-3). I wish all fellow BRM the best of luck in their sports betting and poker tables. Thanks for letting me be part of this community and please excuse my English and my typing errors
Posted by Rogerio10: ARZ Cardinals @ CAR Panthers Sunday 24th 23:40 CAR Panthers Money Line
NE Patriots @ DEN Broncos Sunday 24th 20:00 NE Patriots Money Line
TBH honest I only take money lines if I am betting the underdog - in american football - because backing the favourite without their spread is a 'high risk - low reward' kinda scenario for me.
