Joined: Oct '14
Location: Serbia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 4358
I have this hand like 2 weeks ago... I was playing sit and go hero on party poker, and as all know on that type of game pocket pairs are monsters... so I got dealt 99... guy shoves i call... he got 22... flop comes 933... turn comes 2 river comes 2... and he took pot with quads... now my brother calculated chance he got on flop, and comes to 0,00017% thats insaine!!!!
Joined: Oct '08
Location: Germany
Age: 49 (M)
Posts: 2025
0,000017 ? thats bad math lol - cant be 4 zero´s behind the comma.
its 0,13% on flop and 2,32% on turn. once i went tilt and won exactly the same hand. guy hit full house 999xx and i got amazingly lucky with my pocket 2´s. losing that way sucks big time. you went tilt?
Joined: Mar '11
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 55 (M)
Posts: 7371
This really is the ultimate of bad beats and i dont think i have ever seen this happening. This is the sort of unbelievable hand that they show in all the bad poker movies and never ever in real game time. Very unlucky
Joined: Oct '14
Location: Serbia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 4358
Posted by T3ddyKGB: 0,000017 ? thats bad math lol - cant be 4 zero's behind the comma.
its 0,13% on flop and 2,32% on turn. once i went tilt and won exactly the same hand. guy hit full house 999xx and i got amazingly lucky with my pocket 2's. losing that way sucks big time. you went tilt?
usualy I dont tilt, just like to complain, but that doesnt effect my game, but this did get to me little xD
Joined: May '09
Location: Croatia
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 20416
wow,what a sick hand!I know that I would be mad if I lost on such a hand!you had everything on flop and then you lose on turn and river with 2 2!so sick,who can expect to see quads after flop!very crazy way to lose hand!
That is very unlucky I had a similar situation in the monthly 10K bonanza free roll on Iron Poker pocket 44 versus two players one with AK suited the other with AJ flop comes A410 all in after the flop turn A river K. The last time I flopped Quads was a couple days back doing the Jacks or Better challenge on Poker Stars with pocket 33 but no action post flop.
Joined: Oct '14
Location: Serbia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 4358
Posted by vic75: That is very unlucky I had a similar situation in the monthly 10K bonanza free roll on Iron Poker pocket 44 versus two players one with AK suited the other with AJ flop comes A410 all in after the flop turn A river K. The last time I flopped Quads was a couple days back doing the Jacks or Better challenge on Poker Stars with pocket 33 but no action post flop.
I got quads evry day... some days even I got them several times....
Mathematics ends when begins poker))) Of course mathematical classifications take place in the draw poker hands but I think this is true for about 50% .. the remaining 50% belong to luck and nothing can do about it ... good luck at the tables
Joined: Oct '14
Location: Serbia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 4358
Posted by pajalnick: Mathematics ends when begins poker))) Of course mathematical classifications take place in the draw poker hands but I think this is true for about 50% .. the remaining 50% belong to luck and nothing can do about it ... good luck at the tables
I would have to desagree with you my friend... I think its all mathematic
Joined: Apr '09
Location: Portugal
Age: 44 (M)
Posts: 4827
It's all mathematic because, if there's a probability, then sometime it will actually happen. Now, looking at this previous picture, and some cases told here before, it seems to be happening a lot in the last days. So, the probability seemed so reduced, why are we living it that much? Because we have to take in consideration the trillions of amounts of hands played that are involved in this calculations we are doing. Analysing the hand itself, did you played it wrong? Of course not! Did your opponent played bad? In my opinion, that will depend on the size of his stack: too short, well played, you've got to risk when you have something; way much bigger than your's, well played, his goal is to eliminate as much opponents as he can; more or less the same chips for both, bad played on his size, taking too much risks with such weak hand.
Posted by T3ddyKGB: 0,000017 ? thats bad math lol - cant be 4 zero's behind the comma.
its 0,13% on flop and 2,32% on turn. once i went tilt and won exactly the same hand. guy hit full house 999xx and i got amazingly lucky with my pocket 2's. losing that way sucks big time. you went tilt?
usualy I dont tilt, just like to complain, but that doesnt effect my game, but this did get to me little xD
Runner-runner quads are the bane of everybodies game.
Joined: Oct '14
Location: Serbia
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 4358
Posted by Fakiry: It's all mathematic because, if there's a probability, then sometime it will actually happen. Now, looking at this previous picture, and some cases told here before, it seems to be happening a lot in the last days. So, the probability seemed so reduced, why are we living it that much? Because we have to take in consideration the trillions of amounts of hands played that are involved in this calculations we are doing. Analysing the hand itself, did you played it wrong? Of course not! Did your opponent played bad? In my opinion, that will depend on the size of his stack: too short, well played, you've got to risk when you have something; way much bigger than your's, well played, his goal is to eliminate as much opponents as he can; more or less the same chips for both, bad played on his size, taking too much risks with such weak hand.
he had like 500 chips (starting amount) I had like 700chips...
