Joined: Oct '11
Location: Sweden
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 1410
So here's a theoretical scenario I've been thinking about after watching how some people play close to the bubble.
Say you're playing a $1 Bounty MTT 6-Max and that you have 600k chips and blinds are at 10k/20k and 2.5k ante on a 3 min blind structure. We're getting close to the bubble, you're on BB and you get dealt XX. Someone a few positions earlier then you shoves his entire stack of 400k. His bounty would represent an instant cash that's about 1.5x min cash in the tournament if you were to knock him out. If you call and lose the hand, you'll be down to 200k and will most likely not get even min cash unless you're really lucky with your cards.
Now here's the question: What hands would you need to be dealt in order for a call here to be +EV? You're not only taking the MTT cash into account but the possibility of getting that big bounty and be in a really good position when the bubble bursts.
And to take it another step further: What hands would be considered a +EV call if you had reads/notes on your opponent from previous games that he does a lot of all-in moves to try and steal the blinds when they start becoming fairly big. But you also have notes that he shoves almost any pocket pair or any A.
I'm never getting into these situations if I can avoid them and if I do call, I only do it with really premium hands to avoid unnecessary risks. But what do you guys think about this scenario?
