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Joined: Oct '09
Location: Ireland
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 360

Apparently I spent all my mob points on the mob draw. I have no recollection of this whatsoever (drink). At least I should have a good chance to win it with 2865 tickets and all my poker bankrolls seem to be untouched .Do you think I'll win?

Joined: Apr '09
Location: Portugal
Age: 40 (M)
Posts: 401

The mob draw is gambling, get real, gambling (with no skill involved) only means one thing: the player loses, but sometimes he may win. I prefer to vote on the rule and not on the exception. So NO.

Joined: Apr '08
Location: Argentina
Age: 43 (M)
Posts: 748

Will you win? Well, your chances are definitely on YES, since you seem to have more than 50% chances of winning at least once! Hell, you may even win it twice! Good luck on your booze-induced mishap!

Joined: Feb '09
Location: Belgium
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 686

You have some good chance : ~1/16, so why not ^^ Always dangerous to think about poker/gambling when you are drunk, but here you already are lucky that all your bankrolls are untouched, so why not more luck and get 5000 mobs gl

I wish you all the best and good luck for this draw;as I wrote many times I don't believe so much in draw and, after spending and wasting more than 2.500 points I decided to stop playing it.

Joined: Nov '08
Location: Romania
Age: 31 (M)
Posts: 49

the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws)

So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even

EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning: ( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7

Joined: Nov '09
Location: Poland
Age: 33 (M)
Posts: 1189

I think u will not win... I saw many threads where people was talking how many tickets they bought , and can't remember did anyone won actually (but i think not). So sorry...

Joined: Oct '09
Location: Ireland
Age: 32 (M)
Posts: 360

Posted by bughime:
the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws)
So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even
EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning:
( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7

ok so Ive got around 45% chance of winning basically you"re saying . Thats not bad I suppose .At least its not over 50% cos then I'd have no chance

Joined: Aug '09
Location: Chile
Age: 35 (M)
Posts: 1353

Posted by bughime: the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws)

So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even

EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning: ( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7

If this is true you will win for sure. Let's wait a couple of hours to see what happen.