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Woopsie  +3   
Apparently I spent all my mob points on the mob draw. Confused I have no recollection of this whatsoever Big Smile (drink). At least I should have a good chance to win it with 2865 tickets Big Smile and all my poker bankrolls seem to be untouched Smile .Do you think I'll win?

     
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It is Xmas. You will win. Smile

     
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The mob draw is gambling, get real, gambling (with no skill involved) only means one thing: the player loses, but sometimes he may win. I prefer to vote on the rule and not on the exception. So NO.

     
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Will you win? Well, your chances are definitely on YES, since you seem to have more than 50% chances of winning at least once! Hell, you may even win it twice! Good luck on your booze-induced mishap!

     
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You have some good chance : ~1/16, so why not ^^
Always dangerous to think about poker/gambling when you are drunk, but here you already are lucky that all your bankrolls are untouched, so why not more luck and get 5000 mobs Blink
gl Worship Dollar Thumbs Up

     
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Nope you wont win it because i have bought 20 tickets and will win all the money ...

     
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Sorry I broke my magic ball after it lied to me.
I just put anouther 1600 on it, need a win to break even i think.

Edited by B1gfoot (26 December 2009 @ 19:37 GMT)


     
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Posted by Davoodoo:
Nope you wont win it because i have bought 20 tickets and will win all the money ...

nope that is going to be me this time because I bought more tickets than I bought 30 Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile all is going to be mineeeee...mineee woohooooooo Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile

     
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I wish you all the best and good luck for this draw;as I wrote many times I don't believe so much in draw and, after spending and wasting more than 2.500 points I decided to stop playing it. Blink

     
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You got a 57 % chance to win imo, and I really hope you win, so its a YES Smile

     
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Posted by Joe_Average:
You got a 57 % chance to win imo, and I really hope you win, so its a YES Smile


what if there are 20 other members who got 4k tickets each there is no way he could have 57% of winning Cool

     
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Posted by Joe_Average:
You got a 57 % chance to win imo, and I really hope you win, so its a YES Smile


HOW did you come up with that possible win chance ? Shock

     
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I HAVE 80 TICKETS, YOU HAVE NO CHANCE ! Big Smile

     
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the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws)

So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even

EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning:
( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7

Edited by bughime (27 December 2009 @ 00:50 GMT)


     
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I think u will not win...
I saw many threads where people was talking how many tickets they bought , and can't remember did anyone won actually (but i think not).
So sorry...

     
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Posted by bughime: the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws) So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning: ( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7
ok so Ive got around 45% chance of winning basically you"re saying . Thats not bad I suppose .At least its not over 50% cos then I'd have no chance Big Smile

     
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Posted by NANACONDA:
Do you think I'll win?


chances are - you may (after buying that many tickets), however I don't want you to, since i'm also in the draw
Smile

     
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Awww, thanks Big Smile

     
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Posted by bughime:
the chance of you NOT winning anything is 0.55001156227239034681052525854752 (asuming you have 2865 tickets out of 35000 and there will be 7 draws)

So if you have more than 2500 tickets you are not a favorite to win, but those odds are compesated by the chance of winning multiple times so if you play lots of times in the end you should be close to breaking even

EDIT: By the way the equation I used was to calculate your chances of not winning:
( (35000-2865) / 35000 )^7


Worship Worship Worship Worship Worship Worship

If this is true you will win for sure. Thumbs Up
Let's wait a couple of hours to see what happen.

     
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I hope u don t cuz i spended all my brm points too :x

     
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