Joined: Feb '10
Location: Finland
Age: 38 (M)
Posts: 1248
Thought Id share it with others aswell, so everyone can have a look lol.
I promised to play MOBSAFE with full bank and I did, I put 4944 tickets into this draw - chances of not winning with 5000 mobpoints 1/4 atleast are close to zero, so I can 100% say now that mobsafe is rigged and I dont know who picks the numbers, but atm it feels to me like a big pile of sht lol.
24,72% to win all 4 draws. If I win 1 I still have 32,95% to won rest of the 3 draws. If I won 2 still have 49,42% to win another 2 draws.
Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged, as from the statistics it looks like its impossible to lose
Ohh well, not sure If im going to do this next time, as I was sure Ill win atleast 5k back, based on statistics.
Magatt says mobsafe is a dirthy whore, not I think I can say the same for mobdraw lol.
Joined: Aug '07
Location: Malta
Age: 41 (M)
Posts: 8320
Anything less than 100% means there's a chance of NOT winning. I don't understand exactly what it is that you've done or trying to explain, but feel free to have a discussion about whatever it is that you've tried to do
------------ Oh, so you mean that because you had around 25% of all the tickets to the draw today, that you should have won? There were 4 prizes given away today (20,000 tickets/points) and you had a little less than 5,000, so almost 25%.
Well, you certainly had good odds - but that's all it is, it's not a guarantee to win. Ask anybody who tried to go all-in with AA and end up losing, they'll let you know how odds work
Joined: Apr '10
Location: Finland
Age: 50 (M)
Posts: 323
I bought 3500tickets also and didn´t win a thing That draw is a ugly bully & safe is dirty whore... So next time try to use your points in a better way!
Altought it was great thing that you sacrafised all your points to make a point I appreciate that my fellow finlander
pic #1: 4944/20 000= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win pic #2: 4944/19 999= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win pic #3: 4944/19 998= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win pic #4: 4944/19 997= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win
So every time you had 1/4 odds for da win. Pretty nice odds but still breakable.
Joined: Feb '10
Location: Finland
Age: 38 (M)
Posts: 1248
I was wrong with the rest of % yes, because I thought the points bought in to that 5000 will alse be deleted from draw, but guess not. it would be logical tho, but I dont make the rules lol.
Im not angry lol, just little dissapointed, because Ive seen players here hit 3/4 in same day draws.
Bigfoot - Ill give it another shot definately when I reach another 5k points, just to see if anothing changes .
Joined: Feb '10
Location: Finland
Age: 38 (M)
Posts: 1248
Posted by Administrator: Well, you certainly had good odds - but that's all it is, it's not a guarantee to win. Ask anybody who tried to go all-in with AA and end up losing, they'll let you know how odds work
losing aa to anytwo is 2 out of 10. I know how it works lol, but it just makes me laugh, as every time someone plays big here, they win 2/4 or 3/4. Guess atleast I proved stats are barely taken when drawing prizes. Might aswell play with 1 ticket next time than with 5000 .
Nevermind anyways lol. Ive said it before, im not here for the points .
Joined: May '09
Location: Netherlands
Age: 34 (M)
Posts: 360
Same, I once put 2900 points in it and didn't win. Your chances of winning will increase 200% if you are a new player though, so add those stats in your calculations as well.
Joined: Oct '08
Location: Germany
Age: 49 (M)
Posts: 2025
Posted by Kristan: Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged
didnt know my "dream thread" (for winning the moddraw once in 2 years!) turned into a rigged thread.
think i didnt express my self that well and that made you a little bit go crazy.. i spend each week 30 points in the draw, this time i bought around 800 tickets.
but... 4944 tickets? man thats alot. your not that the first one who didnt win with so many tickets. i would reconsider to do it again - only 25% chance to win. but thats up to you..
Joined: Feb '10
Location: Finland
Age: 38 (M)
Posts: 1248
Posted by T3ddyKGB:
Posted by Kristan: Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged
didnt know my "dream thread" (for winning the moddraw once in 2 years!) turned into a rigged thread.
think i didnt express my self that well and that made you a little bit go crazy.. i spend each week 30 points in the draw, this time i bought around 800 tickets.
but... 4944 tickets? man thats alot. your not that the first one who didnt win with so many tickets. i would reconsider to do it again - only 25% chance to win. but thats up to you..
25% to win with 4 attempts should be more than enough lol. Ill do it again someday when Ive got some points. Its free money anyways
Joined: Apr '09
Location: Australia
Age: 40 (M)
Posts: 6483
/ul Kristan. But your maths was way off, certainly in regards to "chances of not winning any are close to 0%". Not at all true. Great post by SonFelix, saved me the bother.
Joined: Oct '09
Location: Lithuania
Age: 43 (M)
Posts: 2805
so if u are active here at the forums u can buy all the tickets and no win comes becouse the luck allways come for thoose persons who not post here more or just was new
I appreciate that my fellow finlander 
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