Joined: Feb '14
Location: Tunisia
Age: 35 (M)
Posts: 2135
yout85 : why do you assume he is gonna keep losing ? maybe he learned and now he is on a higher level , experience is important , and he seemed he got plenty now and he improved his game no one has done this before , won 3 major MTT on the same day , one of them he was on a field with over 35K players you are so fond of yourself , and i like that and i think it is helpful in poker but you can't undermine somebody achievement like that , i would take that bet of thousands if you want
Joined: May '08
Location: Canada
Age: 48 (M)
Posts: 1017
I remember when actor James Woods won too big tourneys on the same night,on fulltilt,every one thought it was suspicious,that a person could do that,he laughs about it today,his friend who was watching him play, told them to to take pictures,cause no one would believe him.
I have finale tabled a few tourneys in one night and won1 tourney and placed 2 nd in the other and 7 or 8 place in the other one,this was on 888 a couple years ago
Edited by xxxpokerxxx1 (29 September 2014 @ 21:32 GMT)
Joined: Feb '14
Location: Tunisia
Age: 35 (M)
Posts: 2135
you were right , he was a losing player , he was down 28k ,if i lost that i would probably commit suicide but i believe in improvement , you mentioned he had only 5 1st place , 4 of them came in the last couple of days and it tells me alot , that he is now composed and focused so i think this is the break he needed to up his game and not becoming another 'pro' who keeps losing
Joined: Feb '11
Location: Germany
Age: 31 (M)
Posts: 1859
Posted by yout85:
Over the same period I have played 504 tournaments... came in the money in 19% of them, made 35 final tables, won 5, 2nd in 6 and 3rd in 5...
Using beloved OPR, in MTTs with proper field sizes you have 15% ITM and some of your FTs were VERY low fields. Besides, chances are variance was with you, over 500MTTs easily possible.
His finish distribution alone is speaking for him. A heavily 1st-heavy finish distribution is usually showing a very good player (at least all regs with a very heavy 1st-place-distro are almost always the "better" regs). Again though, could be variance.
Really please don't throw around with numbers before a proper sample is reached, not even for 9 man SNGs to make safe assumptions these would be high enough samples, while 9 mans are 10x less variance than MTTs.
Please keep in mind the article is already a few years old and games were much softer back then (pre black friday), the best MTT regs playing high volume make 30% ROI at most nowdays.
Edited by BeMyATMplz (29 September 2014 @ 23:24 GMT)
