Joined: Mar '11
Location: Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 1042
Texas Tech vs Texas
Is a close game with Texas Tech winning 58% of simulations, and Texas 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas Tech commits fewer turnovers in 19% of simulations and they go on to win 79% when they take care of the ball. Texas wins 51% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 420 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. Jerrod Heard is averaging 333 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.
In this game my selection will be The Over (71.5). I wish all fellow BRM the best of luck in their sports betting and poker tables.
Thanks for letting me be part of this community and please excuse my English and my typing errors
Joined: Mar '11
Location: Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 1042
Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois
Bowling Green is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Northern Illinois. Travis Greene is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Northern Illinois wins, Tommy Fiedler averages 1.83 TD passes vs 0.85 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.98 TDs to 1.09 interceptions. Joel Bouagnon averages 140 rushing yards and 1.81 rushing TDs when Northern Illinois wins and 125 yards and 1.04 TDs in losses. Bowling Green has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time.
In this game my selection will be Bowling Green (-13). I wish all fellow BRM the best of luck in their sports betting and poker tables. Thanks for letting me be part of this community and please excuse my English and my typing errors
Joined: Mar '11
Location: Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 1042
Army vs Navy
Navy is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Army. Keenan Reynolds is averaging 100 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Chris Swain is projected for 112 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Army wins, Chris Carter averages 0.71 TD passes vs 0.32 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.35 TDs to 0.47 interceptions. Chris Carter averages 108 rushing yards and 1.62 rushing TDs when Army wins and 93 yards and 0.84 TDs in losses. Navy has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit.
In this game my selection will be Navy (-21.5). I wish all fellow BRM the best of luck in their sports betting and poker tables. Thanks for letting me be part of this community and please excuse my English and my typing errors
Joined: Mar '11
Location: Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
Age: 42 (M)
Posts: 1042
Arizona vs New Mexico
Arizona is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat New Mexico. Jared Baker is projected for 174 rushing yards and a 85% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where New Mexico wins, Lamar Jordan averages 0.87 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.47 TDs to 0.64 interceptions. Jhurell Pressley averages 116 rushing yards and 1.62 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 105 yards and 0.95 TDs in losses. Arizona has a 25% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77%
In this game my selection will be Arizona (-6). I wish all fellow BRM the best of luck in their sports betting and poker tables. Thanks for letting me be part of this community and please excuse my English and my typing errors
Joined: Sep '11
Location: Bosnia and Herzegovina
Age: 41 (M)
Posts: 3048
Detroit Lions at New Orleans
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. Saints are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Under is 8-1 in Lions last 9 Monday games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. New Orleans Saints -3
