Joined: Feb '13
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 48 (F)
Posts: 2372
Hi
Nice thread, I will visit it often.
Before posting a hand, decide what it is you want to know. For instance, in the hand in the post what part of the hand do you want advice on. Preflop? On flop? You need to identify your leaks and that is the hands you should target.
And for others commenting, please please please don't watch the whole hand and then comment, you will be result orientated and that won't help anyone (and we will get comments like 'you got him all in when in front so you were just unlucky, which again is b******t).
Ok as for the hand.
Preflop with his position and raise, he is strong. I am thinking AK, AQ, TT, JJ, QQ, KK, AA. Your raise says a lot, he only flat calls so you can remove AA and KK. QQ is also unlikely (though not impossible) because you have it.
On the flop, he checks, you put in a decent raise and he reraises your arse. You are rarely ahead here. I am thinking you can remove AK, AQ unless he is particulary aggressive or has a read on you. You can remove TT too. That just leaves JJ and you miles behind.
Now this is the key point. If you call and are behind, you are out most of the time. If you call and are ahead, you double up most of the time. This is where ICM comes into play, which I wont pretend to understand enough to be able to argue my point, but my gut feeling is you are far enough behind on enough occasions to warrant the fold.
After you make the call, well it isn't worth discussing because it is clearly unlucky. But that again would be being results orientated.
!
