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On his blog, I think he admitted that he'll probably lose his challenge unless a miracle is coming and he said that he'll also increase the amount of Sit&Gos he should be play per day. But to be honest what he did by playing tons of ... and making a nice profit is very insane.
Joined: Feb '09
Location: Sweden
Age: 36 (M)
Posts: 51
I wonder how good he has been running earlier? Does anybody know? Because, when putting up a bet like this, he should be pretty sure he can make it. Does it mean he's been doing this before?
Joined: Dec '08
Location: Netherlands
Age: 64 (M)
Posts: 735
I have just seen him playing hist last few sng 's for today.... The final 3 tables he played was 2/9 , 1/9 and 3/9 if I recall right I was impressed how he called an all-in, or went all-in himself,..... just on the right moment... and won another hand. Just thought he went all-in too fast in the endplay, with weak hands and got called.by better. He ended up 2nd, 3rd and 4th Still very good results, but not enough to win the bet yet: at the moment he is at $4000,- OMG, I am so impressed, Go Boku !!
Joined: Feb '09
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 49 (M)
Posts: 100
I voted no because he's under pressure. I'm certain he could do it aside from that.
Basically he's done his stats. He knows his average % profit margins at each SNG level ($6/12/16) and has calculated how many games he needs to play each day to make the $10k in 15 days - or less.
The flaw is that he's worked those stats from his average % profit margins over a long period of time. But averages aren't a certainty - particularly over a short period - so if he doesn't hit that average or get close (he would definitely have factored in a decent safety margin) he wont make it to $10k. And there's the added pressure of course . . .
Joined: Jan '09
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 35 (M)
Posts: 183
for sure he is running bad but never know wt will happen i had a friend he started with 50$ no deposit bonus [ that wass monday] and by the end of the week he wass having 7000$ but he played cash table not sit and go :|
Posted by masterhilde: BR atm: 4001$ (after 7 days) 8 days left to make another 5999$
Oh well, he's really under pressure. At the start he ran very good and I doubt he'll once again so if today he don't make a good profit then it's quite over unless he cheats, that is he play a high limit heads up and win a couple of ones.