Joined: Aug '09
Location: Chile
Age: 39 (M)
Posts: 1353
Well, he either has so much luck or bought shots until he hit the prize. Althoug I also heard that he is Admin's brother, but I don't know if it's true hahaha.
Joined: Feb '08
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 37 (M)
Posts: 1886
If you crack the safe once, you've got just as much chance of cracking it the next shot as anyone else. Although it is very lucky. But you are more likely to crack it twice in a row than you are to crack it on your very first go only and never crack it again as I have so far.
edit actually strike that. I was working on the premiss that you have a 1 in 1000 chance of cracking the safe on one specific turn
so therefore the chance of cracking it first time and the chance of cracking it the next go after winning are the same but cracking it twice would be more likely since you aren't limited to when and you could crack it more than twice and it would still count
but i realise now that for this to be true you'd have to assume that every mobster cracked it at least once.
Joined: Jan '09
Location: Italy
Age: 55 (M)
Posts: 3871
Posted by awood88: If you crack the safe once, you've got just as much chance of cracking it the next shot as anyone else. Although it is very lucky. But you are more likely to crack it twice in a row than you are to crack it on your very first go only and never crack it again as I have so far.
edit actually strike that. I was working on the premiss that you have a 1 in 1000 chance of cracking the safe on one specific turn
so therefore the chance of cracking it first time and the chance of cracking it the next go after winning are the same but cracking it twice would be more likely since you aren't limited to when and you could crack it more than twice and it would still count
but i realise now that for this to be true you'd have to assume that every mobster cracked it at least once.
so cracking it twice in a row means 1 out af 1000000 chance? am I right?
PS: maybe I'm shooting random probability
Edited by magatt966 (17 September 2009 @ 00:43 GMT)
Joined: Feb '08
Location: United Kingdom
Age: 37 (M)
Posts: 1886
No because for that to be right you would only play the safe twice and win two out of two. it's a lot more likely than that but it depends on how many times you've tried.
