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2024 US Presidential Election - Odds

Tags: Donald Trump, election, Kamala Harris, USA.
Posted on 05 November 2024 by "T".

The U.S. presidential election in 2024 is shaping up to be a highly contentious and closely watched event, with significant implications for both domestic and international policy. As candidates gear up for the primaries and the general election, betting odds provide a fascinating lens through which to analyze the political landscape.

2024 United States Presidential Election

  • 60th quadrennial presidential election in America
  • Scheduled on November 5, 2024 (Tuesday)
  • Election of a president and vice president for a term of 4 years
  • Nominees: Donald Trump (Republican) and Kamala Harris (Democratic)

Currently, the leading figures in the Democratic and Republican parties are establishing their positions. For Democrats, President Joe Biden is expected to seek re-election, and despite some concerns about his age and approval ratings, he remains the frontrunner. Odds for Biden's re-election hover around -200, indicating a strong, albeit cautious, confidence in his ability to win the nomination and the general election.

On the Republican side, former President Donald Trump is the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination, with odds of about +150. Trump's continued popularity among a significant faction of Republican voters positions him as a formidable candidate. However, his legal challenges and controversies may affect his electability in a general election scenario.

Other notable candidates in the Republican field include Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, whose odds are around +600, and Nikki Haley, the former U.N. ambassador, who is garnering attention with odds near +1000. Both candidates are vying for the anti-Trump vote and hope to appeal to moderates and independents in a general election context.

As the primaries approach, polling data and betting odds will likely fluctuate based on candidates' performances in debates and their ability to connect with voters on key issues. The economy, healthcare, immigration, and climate change are expected to be pivotal topics that could sway undecided voters.

Key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Arizona will be critical for both parties. Current odds suggest that Biden might have a slight edge in these states, but the dynamics can shift rapidly, especially as economic conditions evolve or as social issues take center stage.

Voter turnout will also play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the election. Historically, higher turnout tends to favor Democrats, particularly among young voters and minority groups. In contrast, Republicans often benefit from high turnout among older voters and rural populations.

Another aspect to consider is the influence of third-party candidates. While their chances of winning are slim, they can siphon off votes from the major parties, potentially impacting tight races in crucial states. This election cycle may see candidates from parties like the Libertarian Party or Green Party gaining traction, particularly if mainstream candidates fail to resonate with certain voter blocs.

Overall, as the 2024 election is but a few hours away (as of writing), the odds reflect a competitive and unpredictable landscape. Both parties are mobilizing resources and strategizing to maximize their chances of victory. Observers will be closely monitoring the evolution of candidate favorability, key issues, and emerging voter sentiments as they seek to forecast the outcome of this consequential election. With the stakes so high, the outcome shall be critical in shaping the future political direction of the United States.

 

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Image: https://aarp.widen.net/content/pfmllvxww5/jpeg/1140-Bulletin-Election-Harris-Trump.jpg

 


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25 comments on "2024 US Presidential Election - Odds"


 CALICUL05/11/2024 12:26:42 GMT
These are difficult elections where all countries from the world will be paying attention to how the situation will be. Kamala will probably win but depending on how the elections are rigged... Trump has a chance but he will have to rig them too, if he really wants to win.
 dirkemans05/11/2024 17:29:41 GMT
I don't even care for politics inside my own country Tongue
To me it's all just one big sh*tshow...

The last time i voted was the first time i voted, that was when i turned 18, which seems like a century ago now..

Only a little research into politics would show you the votes never really mattered. In this day and age, with all the possibilities of rigging, fake n*ws, social media influencing, and whatnot, it's become harder and harder for me to take things serious..

Which makes me stay in my own little bubble, where i'll stay content for as long as i can Big Smile
 dule-vu05/11/2024 17:33:05 GMT
Trump to win Big Smile
 geseco1206/11/2024 10:25:55 GMT
The odds reflect a competitive and unpredictable landscape. Both parties are mobilizing resources and developing strategies to maximize their chances of victory, but I believe that in the end Donald Trump will win, he knows how to govern the United States.
 dule-vu06/11/2024 10:30:17 GMT
trump won it, its almost finished!
 geseco1207/11/2024 16:59:22 GMT
Trump will be the winner in the end, he has always done a lot for the United States. Furthermore, the people love him, he has done many things so that the people are with him, it is hoped this can happen again and he will be president of the United States.
 dule-vu07/11/2024 17:00:38 GMT
He is already winner! What you talking about?
 geseco1209/11/2024 01:01:05 GMT
I just found out that Donald Trump is the elected president of the United States, many things will happen for that country, he is a great president, he demonstrated it in previous years, much more is expected of him this year.
 dule-vu09/11/2024 01:01:27 GMT
Whole world know that he is president for days, just you in peru dont know Worship ! When you write just to collect points...
 antonis32109/11/2024 22:03:36 GMT
Strange. I was sure Harris would win this election. If I wanted to bet , I would have bet on her . Lucky I am that I didn't bet . Cause she lost . One more presidential term of 4 years for trump , 4 years more of him . Lol I guess most Americans are masochists ))) no doubt of it .
 dule-vu09/11/2024 22:37:22 GMT
She lost it with big difference!
 geseco1210/11/2024 01:31:20 GMT
But I just know this, I don't think we should generalize my entire country, but at least we are here to always find out what is happening, Trump should take responsibility for many things, especially the issue of immigrants.
 dule-vu10/11/2024 01:31:55 GMT
What to say!
 geseco1211/11/2024 02:03:00 GMT
great result, Trump surpassed the 270 electoral votes necessary to be declared the winner over his rival, the Democratic candidate and vice president of the Government, Kamala Harris.
 dule-vu11/11/2024 06:17:42 GMT
News come slow in peru!
 geseco1212/11/2024 03:00:44 GMT
hahaha, the news is always fresh and comes quickly, but sometimes I disconnect from the networks and I don't find out quickly what is happening in the outside world, but great news for Americans.
 CALICUL12/11/2024 03:21:24 GMT
i didn't expect Trump to win and i thought this Kamala Harris would win, but i was wrong. Now let's see what good she will do for Americans and others countries. I hope she won't do bad things, like Biden...
 geseco1213/11/2024 22:30:05 GMT
We already know the winner, Trump is a great president, now he has much more support from the people, I hope he can perform his duties optimally, do good things and benefit the country.
 dule-vu13/11/2024 22:30:29 GMT
in peru news come after two days Big Smile
 geseco1218/11/2024 15:57:38 GMT
For Donald Trump's supporters, it was an ecstatic sense of victory and vindication, while for Democrats it was a shock, even historic, disappointment. For the world at large, it was the long-awaited opportunity to finally move on from an endless war of words, endless insults, and character assassination.
 dule-vu18/11/2024 15:58:02 GMT
Odds at bookmakers were on his side and he won with majority!
 geseco1222/11/2024 02:24:23 GMT
Donald Trump will take office as the 47th president of the United States on January 20 at 12 noon. The Republican returns to the White House four years after losing office, something that has only happened one other time in history. By making xenophobia the focus of his campaign, as he did in 2016, Trump has benefited from citizens' frustration after the sharp price increases of the last four years and the increase in irregular immigration.
 dule-vu22/11/2024 06:05:02 GMT
Thread is about odds and betting! You write about wrong things just to collect points and it over weeks ago!
 geseco1224/11/2024 00:10:23 GMT
Donald Trump is a great president, he demonstrated it in his previous government, it is expected that this will happen again this year, there are many things to improve, since the United States is also a first world country and must always live up to it. .
 dule-vu24/11/2024 00:13:12 GMT
Same things!

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