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A dream NOT come true - mobsafe glitch  0   
Thought Id share it with others aswell, so everyone can have a look lol.

I promised to play MOBSAFE with full bank and I did, I put 4944 tickets into this draw - chances of not winning with 5000 mobpoints 1/4 atleast are close to zero, so I can 100% say now that mobsafe is rigged and I dont know who picks the numbers, but atm it feels to me like a big pile of sht lol.

24,72% to win all 4 draws.
If I win 1 I still have 32,95% to won rest of the 3 draws.
If I won 2 still have 49,42% to win another 2 draws.


Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged, as from the statistics it looks like its impossible to lose Confused

Ohh well, not sure If im going to do this next time, as I was sure Ill win atleast 5k back, based on statistics.

Magatt says mobsafe is a dirthy whore, not I think I can say the same for mobdraw lol. Cool

Attached Imagesasasas.bmp

     
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Your figures are completely wrong, and confusing.

24.72% to win all 4 drawws???, eh i don't think so there love
Can't make sense of the rest of it

     
   +1   
Anything less than 100% means there's a chance of NOT winning. I don't understand exactly what it is that you've done or trying to explain, but feel free to have a discussion about whatever it is that you've tried to do Smile

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Oh, so you mean that because you had around 25% of all the tickets to the draw today, that you should have won? There were 4 prizes given away today (20,000 tickets/points) and you had a little less than 5,000, so almost 25%.

Well, you certainly had good odds - but that's all it is, it's not a guarantee to win. Ask anybody who tried to go all-in with AA and end up losing, they'll let you know how odds work Smile

     
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Posted by Administrator:
I don't understand exactly what it is that you've done or trying to explain

Me neither

     
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UL, but in science experements have to be repeted to be proved. So give it anouther shoot...
but your math is wrong, is simply 25% across the board.

     
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I bought 3500tickets also and didn´t win a thing Big Smile Big Smile Big Smile That draw is a ugly bully & safe is dirty whore... So next time try to use your points in a better way!

Altought it was great thing that you sacrafised all your points to make a point Thumbs Up I appreciate that my fellow finlander Blink

pic #1: 4944/20 000= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win
pic #2: 4944/19 999= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win
pic #3: 4944/19 998= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win
pic #4: 4944/19 997= 0,2472 => 24,7% for da win

So every time you had 1/4 odds for da win. Pretty nice odds but still breakable.

Your chances of winning em´ all were 1/256

     
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I was wrong with the rest of % yes, because I thought the points bought in to that 5000 will alse be deleted from draw, but guess not. it would be logical tho, but I dont make the rules lol.

Im not angry lol, just little dissapointed, because Ive seen players here hit 3/4 in same day draws.

Bigfoot - Ill give it another shot definately when I reach another 5k points, just to see if anothing changes Blink.

     
   +1   
ive done the same too m8 and failed Shock

     
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Posted by Administrator:
Well, you certainly had good odds - but that's all it is, it's not a guarantee to win. Ask anybody who tried to go all-in with AA and end up losing, they'll let you know how odds work Smile


losing aa to anytwo is 2 out of 10. I know how it works lol, but it just makes me laugh, as every time someone plays big here, they win 2/4 or 3/4. Guess atleast I proved stats are barely taken when drawing prizes. Might aswell play with 1 ticket next time than with 5000 Tongue.

Nevermind anyways lol. Ive said it before, im not here for the points Blink.

     
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Posted by SonFelix:
That draw is a ugly bully & safe is dirty whore...

Just use a big donkey d*** and it'll open for you Tongue Tongue Tongue Tongue

     
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Same, I once put 2900 points in it and didn't win. Your chances of winning will increase 200% if you are a new player though, so add those stats in your calculations as well.

     
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Yes as administrator said there is a chance to lose even there is 99.9999% of wining Big Smile but that would be BAD LUCK wich always is near.

     
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Posted by Gottfriedx:
Your chances of winning will increase 200% if you are a new player though, so add those stats in your calculations as well.

No, they won't. 1 ticket is worth the same to everybody.

     
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Posted by Kristan:
Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged


Stupid Blink

didnt know my "dream thread" (for winning the moddraw once in 2 years!) turned into a rigged thread.

think i didnt express my self that well and that made you a little bit go crazy..
i spend each week 30 points in the draw, this time i bought around 800 tickets.

but... 4944 tickets? man thats alot. your not that the first one who didnt win with so many tickets.
i would reconsider to do it again - only 25% chance to win. but thats up to you..




     
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Posted by T3ddyKGB:
Posted by Kristan:
Now call me stupid, if I say mobsafe is really rigged


Stupid Blink

didnt know my "dream thread" (for winning the moddraw once in 2 years!) turned into a rigged thread.

think i didnt express my self that well and that made you a little bit go crazy..
i spend each week 30 points in the draw, this time i bought around 800 tickets.

but... 4944 tickets? man thats alot. your not that the first one who didnt win with so many tickets.
i would reconsider to do it again - only 25% chance to win. but thats up to you..





LOL

25% to win with 4 attempts should be more than enough lol. Ill do it again someday when Ive got some points. Its free money anyways Thumbs Up Blink

     
   0   
/ul Kristan. But your maths was way off, certainly in regards to "chances of not winning any are close to 0%". Not at all true. Great post by SonFelix, saved me the bother.

But still, very unlucky.Better luck next time??

     
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so if u are active here at the forums u can buy all the tickets and no win comes becouse the luck allways come for thoose persons who not post here more or just was new Smile

     
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Posted by Kristan:

Magatt says mobsafe is a dirthy whore, not I think I can say the same for mobdraw lol. Cool



yes I'm sure the safe is a dirty whore Aww crap! Aww crap!
but I cannot state it is rigged Blink

     
   0   
Posted by Administrator:
Posted by Gottfriedx:
Your chances of winning will increase 200% if you are a new player though, so add those stats in your calculations as well.

No, they won't. 1 ticket is worth the same to everybody.


i think what the guy is referring here is that new signups to BRM have higher chances of winning. not sure about that though.

     
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